View our online presentation: The Changing
Geopolitics of Oil
Oil prices fall and rise
Oil
prices fell briefly after the rapid victory of US-led coalition
forces in Iraq. Coalition success in quickly seizing Iraqi
oil fields prevented Saddam Hussein loyalists from setting oil wells
afire as was done to Kuwaiti oil fields during the first Gulf War, and
enabled coalition firefighters to put out the oil fires that
analysts had feared would greatly damage Iraq's ability to resume
production. The drop in prices was of great concern to the
Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC,)
which in response called an emergency meeting on April 24. OPEC
president, Abdullah al-Attiyah, Qatar's
Minister of Energy and Industry said: "My main worry is how to deal
with the dramatic price drop. The market is full of oil, it's facing
a glut not a shortage." Prices topped $30 a barrel after Iranian Oil
Minister Bijan Namdar Zanghaneh called on OPEC to ward off a price
collapse by reducing production in the second quarter of 2003 and
Indonesian Mines and Energy Minister Purnomo Yusgiantoro said he
would ask OPEC to reduce daily production by 1.5 to two million
barrels. Iran is OPEC's second biggest producer after Saudi Arabia.
Gas prices at the pump follow the price of crude with a several week
time delay. Prices dropped in response to the fall in crude oil
prices, but are likely to rise again if the rebound in crude oil
stands.
Oil pipeline in Nigeria blown up by
militants
On April 7, a few days after ethnic militants
threatened to destroy property belonging to multinational oil
companies in the Niger delta, an area that accounts for most of Nigeria's
crude output of two million barrels per day, a major oil pipeline
that carried crude oil from ChevronTexaco's Escravos oil terminal to
a refinery in the southern port of Warri and another in Kaduna, 450
miles to the north, was blown up. Since then, ChevronTexaco as well
as other major oil firms who evacuated Nigeria in recent months
following fighting between Nigerian soldiers and rival militants
from the area's two major ethnic groups, the Ijaw and Itsekiri
tribes, have resumed production. The tribal warfare had shut down
about 40% of Nigeria's total oil output, cutting production by
800,000 barrels per day (bpd), however with hope of improved
security, production at ChevronTexaco's Escravos oilfield is back up
to about 310,000 bpd, 130,000 barrels short of capacity, while Royal
Dutch Shell's Forcados field has returned to 350,000 bpd production,
150,000 bpd below capacity.
Throughout Nigeria over 10,000
people have died in ethnic, religious and political violence since
President Olusegun Obasanjo's election in 1999 ended 15 years of
military dictatorship. April 19 Nigeria faces elections. Thus far
Nigeria has not had a successful democratic transition from one
civilian government to the next. "We are on the edge of an abyss.
These elections will decide our fate,'' presidential contender and
longtime human rights campaigner Gani Fawehinmi said. "I only hope
our democratic process will survive.'' China whose
energy consumption is growing at a phenomenal rate, is planning to
begin importing Nigerian oil.
Nigeria, the fifth largest exporter
of oil to the United States, is one of the world's poorest
countries. Two thirds of Nigerians live on less than $1 a
day. The country lacks refining capacity, and thus
imports over half the gasoline it requires. Nigerians suffer from
chronic gasoline shortages, waiting habitually in half mile lines
for gas. According to Transparency International, Nigeria is the world's
second most corrupt country after Bangladesh. Last August Nigerian
oil concern Malabu Oil & Gas, controlled by the former military
regime's petroleum minister, Dauzia Loya Etete, sued Shell for $1 billion, accusing it of
colluding with Nigerian officials to grab Malibu's license to
prospect oil in the Niger Delta.
Oil related indictments
A
former Mobil senior executive who was in charge of overseas
crude-oil transactions in Kazakhstan, and the CEO of Mercator Corp.,
a New York-based merchant bank, were indicted following a three-year
Justice Department probe into alleged bribes paid during the 1990s
to Kazakhstan's dictatorial President Nursultan Nazarbayev and
senior members of his administration on behalf of U.S. oil companies
ExxonMobil, ConocoPhillips and Amoco, now part of British Petroleum
(BP). Their lawyers deny the allegations. Payments from Western oil
companies have made Nazarbayev, the first and sole president of the
former Soviet republic, and former first secretary of its Communist
Party, a billionaire and reportedly one of the world's 10 most
wealthy men. Freedom House rates Kazakhstan as Not Free. As Seymour M. Hersh notes
in "The Price of Oil," a detailed account of the
incident, the investigation started following accusations by Farhat
Tabbah, Jordanian businessman, that he was cheated out of millions
of dollars in commissions on what was to have been a ten-year swap
of oil between Kazakhstan and Iran. United States federal sanctions
prohibit American oil companies to trade with Iran or facilitate
such trades without a license from the Treasury Department.
French oil giant Elf Aquitaine funds 'went to French
parties'
During the corruption trial in Paris of 37
Elf executives accused of embezzling hundreds of millions of
dollars, Alfred Sirven, a key defendant, testified that a large
portion of the $50 million he withdrew in cash between 1990 and 1996
were used to fund French political parties and foreign leaders. Over
$150 million were allegedly embezzled from Elf Aquitaine in the
early 1990s. Former Elf president Loik Le Floch-Prigent, appointed
by President Francois Mitterrand in 1989 to run the company that was
then state owned and is now a part of TotalFinaElf, said French politicians would personally collect
envelopes with company cash to finance their campaigns. Le
Floch-Prigent testified that initially the payments went to Jacques
Chirac's party, at the time called the Gaullist Rally for the
Republic (RPR), until then-President François Mitterrand, a
Socialist, "asked me to balance things out so that other parties
would profit." Chirac succeeded Mitterrand as president in 1995.
According to Le Floch-Prigent payments totaled about $5 million per
year, but Sirven testified: "This seems to me a gross
under-estimate." Le Floch-Prigent said Andre Tarallo, known within
Elf as "Mr. Africa," paid parties on the right side of the political
spectrum, while Sirven funneled payments to those on the left.
French leaders are believed to have used Elf to expand French
influence in Africa. Millions of dollars in payments by Elf were
made to African leaders with whom Elf did business. Mitterrand's
foreign minister Roland Dumas, accused of benefiting from Elf money
but acquitted, said Elf "gradually turned into a cash-cow. Its
capital was used to reward African heads of state." Lawyers want the
government to lift a ruling classifying the names of senior
politicians who took such money as a defense secret.
Nadhmi
Auchi, an Iraqi born billionaire and British national, was arrested
in the UK and faces extradition to France for his alleged role in
funneling a £28 million kick-back to purchase an oil refinery from
its Kuwaiti owners. The UK Observer alleges that Auchi, who along with
Saddam Hussein was tried for his involvement in a conspiracy to
assassinate an Iraqi prime minister in Baghdad in the 1950s, built
his financial empire by peddling his influence with Hussein's
Baathist regime.
In 2001, TotalFinaElf signed an agreement with
Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein allowing the firm to develop 25 per
cent of Iraq’s oil fields. TotalFinaElf largest single shareholder,
Canadian Paul Desmarais', youngest son Andre is married to Canadian
Prime Minister Jean Chretien's daughter France. Desmarais son Paul
Jr., CEO of Montreal Power Corp., a firm whose annual revenues
exceed 18 billion Canadian dollars, sits on the French oil company’s
board of directors.
Unocal can stand trial for benefiting from
Burma's slaving regime
A California appeals court has
cleared the way for Unocal Corp, a global oil company, to stand
trial in Los Angeles over accusations it shares responsibility for
the murder, abuse and enslavement of villagers by troops guarding a
$1.2 natural gas pipeline project in Burma (Myanmar) owned by Unocal, TotalFinaElf, a
Thai company and a Burmese state-owned energy company, starting at
least as early as 1995. The lawsuit alleges villagers were forced to
work without pay by soldiers guarding the pipeline, abused, and in
the case they refused to work or were too weak, shot. Soldiers are
accused of pushing a mother and baby into a fire in which the baby
suffered burns that caused his death.
According to Forbes, among the evidence is a cable from the
U.S. embassy in Rangoon describing a conversation between a State
Department official and Joel Robinson, a Unocal manager, in which
Robinson acknowledged that Unocal hired the military as security and
met directly with the soldiers to keep them informed of its
activities so they could secure the area.
A federal court noted
last September that "The evidence also supports the conclusion that
Unocal gave 'encouragement' to the Myanmar military in subjecting
plaintiffs to murder, r-pe and torture." Unocal denies the
accusations.
Iraq to Syria oil pipeline
shut
Following White House statements that Syria is a terrorist state providing haven and
support to terrorist organizations such as Hizballah and to members of Iraq's deposed Ba'ath
regime, and concealing weapons of mass destruction, the U.S. Army
shut a pipeline that funneled oil from Kirkuk in northern Iraq to
Syria's Banias port. That pipeline, re-opened three years ago, and a
newer second pipeline, carrying oil from Ain Zalah in Iraq to
Suwaydiyah in Syria, together supplied 200,000 barrels of oil per
day to Syria at a great discount, doubling Syrian exports so
that it reaped an estimated extra $1.2 billion annually, and
enabling Iraq to circumvent sanctions and sell oil outside the
U.N.'s oil-for-food program (dubbed oil-for-palaces by U.S. General
Tommy Franks,) earning Saddam Hussein an extra $1 billion per year.
Syria refined the Iraqi oil it purchased for domestic use, and
exported its own oil at market prices.
News from the technology front
DaimlerChrysler's fuel cell powered
minivan featured in Pentagon
display
DaimlerChrysler's Town & Country Natrium, a fuel
cell concept vehicle that runs on clean, nonflammable, and
recyclable sodium borohydride fuel, participated in a ride-and-drive
display program at the Pentagon on April 21. The vehicle has a range
of 300 miles. Sodium borohydride is made from sodium borate,
commonly known as borax, a mineral abundantly available in the
Western United States. Hydrogen is extracted from sodium borohydride
to power the fuel cell. "Chrysler Group has a long and proud history
of supporting our national defense efforts," said Bernard I
Robertson, DaimlerChrysler's Senior Vice President, Research and
Regulatory Affairs. "This unique technology could have great
benefits for the military: in particular, it is nonflammable,
greatly improving safety in battle zones, and the main ingredient
can be transported as a dry powder, dramatically reducing the
enormous logistical demands of fueling our military in advanced
battle settings. In addition, the greater fleet fuel efficiency
would greatly reduce the amount of fuel used by our armed forces --
fuel that can cost hundreds of dollars per gallon to deliver to the
battlefield. And this technology produces zero smog-forming and
greenhouse gases, contributing to a cleaner environment. Finally,
sodium borohydride has the potential to reduce or eliminate our
dependence on oil for our transportation needs."
Millennium Cell to demonstrate Hydrogen on
Demand in water taxi
Millennium
Cell's Hydrogen on Demand(TM) system generates hydrogen from
sodium borohydride, as described in the previous entry. Millennium
Cell, has teamed up with Seaworthy Systems and Duffy Electric Boat
Company in a demonstration project for California's Center for the
Commercial Deployment of Transportation Technologies (CCDoTT) to show the utility of hydrogen fuel for
generating power for ships and facilities in ports.The first boat is
expected to be in use in Newport Beach (CA) harbor in August of this
year. The Millennium Cell Hydrogen on Demand(TM) system will be
installed in a 22-passenger water taxi from Duffy Electric Boat Co.
The water taxi will serve the public 10 to 12 hours daily. Seaworthy
Systems will provide system integration and engineering for
Millennium Cell's technology.
Delphi Exhibits Solid Oxide Fuel Cell
Technology
Delphi Corporation exhibited its Generation-2
solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) at the above mentioned U.S.
Department of Defense April 21 event. " Delphi is showing its next
generation SOFC that has the ability to use alternate fuels and is
designed to work with special fuel used by the military (JP-8
logistics fuel)," said Dr. Jean Botti, chief technologist, Delphi's
Dynamics and Propulsion Innovation Center. "Delphi's SOFC includes
increased power density for the military in a lightweight package.
It also gives soldiers more autonomy in the field, because along
with generating electricity, it produces potable water after
filtration." Delphi's SOFC is multi-fuel capable using many
hydrocarbon fuels and hydrogen along with diesel fuel and logistics
fuel (JP-8) that are both required for military applications. It can
be operated independently of a vehicle's engine for silent power or
in conjunction with an engine for emissions reductions through use
of the engine's reformed fuel. It produces water in the exhaust that
can be condensed and filtered to support drinking water needs of
military field personnel.
To unsubscribe, send a blank email with
UNSUBSCRIBE written in the subject line to subscribe@iags.org